Friday, August 24, 2007

A March14 "cannibalization" of quorum will either lead to a Gen. Aoun "Emergency Cabinet" or to a "Big Surprise"

Electing a "uniting" figure to Lebanon's Presidency has never looked more elusive. M14 acquiescing to a "Government of National Salvation" is impossible, hence any initiative that carries a semblance of a "compromise", will be still-born. The French have learned that the hard way. Michel Sleiman's prospects are desormais, nil! Contrary to popular wisdom, the LAF Commander knows damn well the amount of damage Jeff Feltman has inflicted on his portrayed role.
Around the middle of November, the "hawks" of M14 will try to convene a 50+1 quorum to elect a scarecrow President, a move that will surely draw fire from the Opposition, most notably the Christians in the Opposition: They will not allow Fuad Siniora to run the country.
Fasten your seat belts!

1 comment:

Abu Muqawama said...

For what it's worth, my personal opinion is that some leaders in M14 see a presidential vacuum being in their best interests. This, alas, is my best bet as to where we are headed.

(Thanks for reading the blog. I enjoy yours as well -- and need to link to it.)